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Transparent prices
Each contract shows an implied probability from 1¢ to 99¢ — the market price is the odds.
Prediction markets
Polymarket — trade event contracts with live odds
Buy and sell Yes/No shares on politics, sports, crypto and macro events.
USDC settlement
Live probabilities
Mobile app
18+Availability varies by region.
US election outcome
Fed rate decision
NBA champion
Bitcoin $150k this year
Featured event markets
Sample contract themes traders follow on Polymarket.
US election outcome
Fed rate decision
NBA champion
Bitcoin $150k this year
Why traders use Polymarket
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Event diversity
Politics, sports championships, crypto milestones and macro data releases in one interface.
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Peer liquidity
Orders match against other traders; spreads tighten as volume grows near resolution.
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Mobile alerts
App push notifications when probabilities shift on markets you follow.
How prediction trading works
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Pick a market
Choose an event contract and read the resolution criteria before trading.
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Buy Yes or No
Pay USDC for shares. A 65¢ Yes price implies ~65% implied probability.
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Hold or exit
Sell before resolution or hold until the event outcome settles the contract.
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Collect payout
Winning shares redeem at $1 each after official resolution.
Explore Polymarket guides
Common questions
Is Polymarket a casino?
No. Polymarket lists event contracts — binary Yes/No shares on real-world outcomes — not slot machines or house-banked casino games.
How are odds shown?
Contract prices in cents map to implied probability. 70¢ Yes ≈ 70% chance priced by traders.
What currency is used?
Trading uses USDC on supported chains. Fund your wallet after verifying regional eligibility.
Can I use this site to trade?
This is an independent information guide. Execute trades only on the official Polymarket platform.